广东省生境质量时空格局演变及其影响因素研究

Spatial-temporal Pattern Evolution and the Influencing Factors of Habitat Quality in Guangdong Province

  • 摘要: 为深入探究大区域尺度生境质量的时空演变特征及其影响因素,结合土地利用/覆盖数据、气象数据和社会经济等多源数据,利用InVEST模型和空间自相关分析方法,对2000—2020年广东省生境质量进行了量化评估和时空演变特征分析,并引入地理探测器探究自然因素和人为因素对广东省生境质量的影响。研究结果表明:(1)广东省生境质量表现为由中心向外部逐渐增高、由沿海向内陆纵向升高的空间分布格局,具有显著的空间正自相关性,冷热点空间分布差异明显。(2)2000—2020年,广东省生境质量呈现“先减后增再减”的波动变化,生境质量在珠三角地区呈现中位下降态势,在北部生态发展区呈现高位下降态势,在沿海经济带东翼和沿海经济带西翼呈现低位上升态势。(3)不同影响因子对广东省生境质量的解释力q值由高到低排序为:人口密度、NDVI、GDP、道路密度、高程、坡度、年降水量、年平均气温,且影响因子间存在着交互增强的效应。

     

    Abstract: To explore the spatiotemporal characteristics of habitat quality and its influencing factors on a large regional scale, the multi-source datasets, including land use/cover, meteorological, and socio-economic datasets were integrated. The InVEST model and spatial autocorrelation are employed to quantify and analyze the spatial pa-ttern of habitat quality in Guangdong Province from 2000 to 2020. Furthermore, the Geodetector is used to examine the influences of both natural and anthropogenic factors on the province's habitat quality. The results show that: (1) The habitat quality in Guangdong Province exhibits a spatial pattern of a gradual increase from the center to the periphery and from the coast to the inland, with significantly positive spatial autocorrelation and distinct differences in the spatial pattern of hot and cold spots. (2) The habitat quality in Guangdong Province from 2000 to 2020 undergoes a fluctuating change of "decreasing, then increasing, then decreasing". The habitat quality continuously declines in the Pearl River Delta region, while the Northern Ecological Development Zone and the Eastern Wing of the Coastal Economic Belt display a similar fluctuating trend, and the Western Wing of the Coastal Economic Belt shows an initial improvement followed by a decline. (3) The explanatory power of various influencing factors on habitat quality in Guangdong Province, denoted by q values, is ranked from highest to lowest as follows: population density, NDVI, GDP, road density, elevation, slope, annual precipitation, and annual mean temperature, and there is an interaction-enhancing effect among these influencing factors.

     

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