近30年中国典型城市群建设用地扩张的时空特征及其对比——以京津冀城市群和粤港澳大湾区为例

The Spatio-temporal Characteristics of Construction Land Expansion in China's Typical Urban Agglomerations in Recent 30 years: A Case Study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

  • 摘要: 为了进一步把握当前城市群发展的特点与方向,掌握城市群建设用地的扩张机制,选择中国南北两地最具代表性的京津冀城市群与粤港澳大湾区为研究对象,利用1988—2017年的建设用地数据,借助城市扩张速率、城市扩张强度、城市扩张差异指数和景观扩张指数等指标,对比分析两大城市群近30年间建设用地扩张的时空特征及其差异,并结合灰色关联模型分析两大城市群建设用地扩张的影响因素。结果表明京津冀城市群进入城市化的高速发展期,而粤港澳大湾区则进入城市扩张的成熟期,且大湾区内部的发展速度要优于京津冀城市群:(1)京津冀城市群建设用地的增加面积是粤港澳大湾区的3倍多,但其建设用地的扩张速率和扩张强度均小于粤港澳大湾区的,即扩张进程总体上慢于粤港澳大湾区。(2)两大城市群建设用地扩张存在显著的时空差异性:粤港澳大湾区建设用地的扩张速率和扩张强度在1988—2007年间均明显高于京津冀城市群的,但从2008年开始均低于京津冀城市群的,且差距不断扩大;京津冀城市群的建设用地呈多中心环状放射性扩张,粤港澳大湾区的建设用地则由点状扩张转为面状发展。(3)两大城市群建设用地的扩张过程存在显著的区域差异:京津翼城市群的建设用地扩张速度由高至低依次为南部、东北部、中部,粤港澳大湾区东岸的建设用地扩张速度快于西岸的。(4)两大城市群的新增建设用地斑块均以边缘式扩张和填充式扩张为主,飞地式扩张的数量占比逐渐降低,扩张格局不断从扩散走向集聚,但粤港澳大湾区建设用地扩张的集聚水平更高。(5)京津冀城市群的建设用地扩张主要受常住人口和地区生产总值的影响,而地区生产总值和固定资产投资总额则是粤港澳大湾区建设用地扩张的主要驱动力。

     

    Abstract: In order to understand the characteristics and direction of current urban agglomeration development and the mechanism of construction land expansion in urban agglomerations, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglome-ration (BTH) and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), the most representative urban agg-lomerations in China, are selected as the research objects. The spatio-temporal characteristics of construction land expansion in BTH and GBA and the differences between these two agglomerations are analyzed based on the construction land data from 1988 to 2017 with the methods of urban expansion rate, urban expansion intensity, urban expansion difference index and landscape expansion index. The factors in the construction land expansion in the two urban agglomerations are analyzed with the grey correlation model. The results show that BTH has entered the period of rapid urbanization and GBA has entered the mature period of urban expansion, with its internal development speed better than that of BTH. First, the area of construction land expansion in BTH is three times more than in GBA, but the expansion rate and expansion intensity of BTH are both lower than those of GBA. The process of construction land expansion in BTH is generally slower than in GBA. Second, there are significant spatio-temporal differences in the construction land expansion between two urban agglomerations: the expansion rate and intensity of construction land in GBA are significantly higher than in BTH in 1988-2007, but since 2008, they have become lower than in BTH and the gap has continued to enlarge. Third, there are significant regional differences in the process of construction land expansion between two urban agglomerations: the speed of construction land expansion in BTH varies from high to low along the line from the south from the northeast and the central. The speed of construction land expansion in the east of GBA is higher than that in the west. Fourth, new construction land patches in the two urban agglomerations are mainly edge-expansion and infilling-expansion, with the proportion of outlying-expansion gradually decreasing, shifting from diffusion to agglomeration. However, the agglomeration level of construction land expansion in GBA is higher than in BTH. Finally, BTH is mainly affected by resident population and GDP while GDP and gross investment in fixed assets are the main driving forces of construction land expansion in GBA.

     

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