陈颖嘉, 孙武, 张惠娜, 李涛, 胡莉. 广州市气温的度边际用电效应研究[J]. 华南师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2010, 1(1): 23-23 .
引用本文: 陈颖嘉, 孙武, 张惠娜, 李涛, 胡莉. 广州市气温的度边际用电效应研究[J]. 华南师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2010, 1(1): 23-23 .
CHEN Ying-jia, Hui-na ZHANG, . STUDY ON THE MARGINAL ELECTRIC EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE IN GUANGZHOU[J]. Journal of South China Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2010, 1(1): 23-23 .
Citation: CHEN Ying-jia, Hui-na ZHANG, . STUDY ON THE MARGINAL ELECTRIC EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE IN GUANGZHOU[J]. Journal of South China Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2010, 1(1): 23-23 .

广州市气温的度边际用电效应研究

STUDY ON THE MARGINAL ELECTRIC EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE IN GUANGZHOU

  • 摘要: 根据2000-2005年广州、香港与澳门的月用电量数据及气温数据,以线性回归方式分离了三地的月均气象用电量,建立了气温-月均气象用电量关系模型.结果显示,三地的月均气象用电量平均比例分别为12.9%,17.1%和18.5%;三地月均温分别超过24.43、24.80和24.52℃时,气象用电量对月均温的变化比较敏感,两者的关系也较密切.三地的热季、过渡季与冷季月均温的1℃效应值与相关系数呈依次降低的趋势.

     

    Abstract: Based on the monthly mean temperature data and electric power consumptions in Guangzhou, Hong Kong and Macao from 2000 to 2005, the monthly mean weather components of 3 cities are divided by linear regression method and a model between temperature and weather components is build up. It shows that the percentages of the monthly mean weather components of the cities are 12.9%,17.1% and 18.5%, respectively.When the monthly mean temperature is up to 24.43,24.80 and 24.52℃, the weather components is more sensitive to the change of mean monthly temperature. The 1℃ effect and correlation coefficients successively decease in hot, transitional and cold seasons in the cities.

     

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