近10年珠三角城市群经济承载力及空间分异

蔡永龙; 陈忠暖; 刘松

摘要: 以珠三角城市群内9个城市为研究对象，选取18个经济发展水平梯度差异较小的区域内的城市为样本数据，运用修正之后的人口—经济承载力模型，测度珠三角城市群及内部九大城市2005—2014年的经济承载力水平，并分析经济承载力水平的空间分异. 研究结果显示：珠三角城市群经济承载力趋于小幅波动状态，但城市群内部极化效应显著，涓滴效应仍处于较低水平，区域经济一体化水平较低；城市群内部城市经济承载力等级分化严重，形成以深圳市、广州市、珠海市和佛山市为第一层级，东莞市和中山市为第二层级，惠州市、江门市和肇庆市分列三~五层级的经济承载力等级体系；地理空间上，形成以深圳市、广州市和珠海市为核心的三大区域，三大区域的经济承载力水平变化趋势为：广州市-佛山市-肇庆市（广佛肇），深圳市-东莞市-惠州市（深莞惠），珠海市-中山市-江门市（珠中江）；近10年，珠三角城市群经济承载力呈东高-西低的发展状态，西岸塌陷的阴影效应十分显著.

关键词:

空间分异

Abstract: The Pearl River Delta is the frontier region of Chinese economic reform and opening up. To some extent, although the economy has gained rapid development, the level of regional economic difference has gradually increased. Therefore, taking in nine cities of pearl river delta urban agglomeration as the research object, selecting 18 regional cities with smaller economic development gradient difference as sample data, the level of economic capacity the pearl river delta urban agglomeration and internal nine big city from 2005 to 2014 is tested after using revised model measure, and the spatial difference of economic bearing capacity is analyzed. It is concluded as follows：Firstly, the economic bearing capacity of the pearl river delta urban agglomeration tend to be small fluctuations, but, the interior of the urban agglomeration, polarization effect is very significant; the trickle-down effect is still in the lower levels, and the trickle-down effect is still at the lower level. Secondly, internal urban agglomeration, the level differentiation bearing capacity of urban economic level is very serious, formed in Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Zhuhai and Foshan as the first level, Dongguan and Zhongshan to the next level, Huizhou, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing took three to five levels of economic bearing capacity rating system. Thirdly, the three core area is formed including Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Zhuhai, and the changing trend of three regional’ economic bearing capacity level is Guangzhou-Foshan-Zhaoqing (Guang-Fo-Zhao), Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou(Shen-Guan-Hui), and Zhuhai-Zhongshan-Jiangmen(Zhu-Zhong-Jiang) in the geographical space. Finally, for nearly 10 years, the carrying capacity of the pearl river delta urban agglomeration in east area is higher than the western, and the shadow effect of west bank collapse is significant.

Keywords:

Space differentiation

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近10年珠三角城市群经济承载力及空间分异

通讯作者:
陈忠暖

计量

Economic Carrying Capacity and Spatial Difference in Pearl River Delta City Group Over the Past 10 Years

计量

目录

近10年珠三角城市群经济承载力及空间分异

通讯作者: 陈忠暖

计量

出版历程

Economic Carrying Capacity and Spatial Difference in Pearl River Delta City Group Over the Past 10 Years

计量

出版历程

目录

通讯作者:
陈忠暖