韩江流域参考作物蒸散量时空变化及其影响因素

The study on influence factors of hanjiang river basin of reference crop evapotranspiration change and its spatio-temporal change

  • 摘要: 基于韩江流域12个气象站点1961—2013年的逐日气象数据,应用Penman-Monteith公式计算参考作物蒸散量(ET0),并利用Mann-Kendall检验、Kring插值、Pearson相关分析和敏感性系数等方法分析了韩江流域ET0的时空变化特征及其影响因素. 结果表明:(1)近53年来,韩江流域多年平均ET0为1 121.96 mm,整体呈下降趋势,速率为0.39 mm/a,在1967年左右发生突变. 全流域ET0的年内变化较为明显,夏季的贡献最大,占到全年的37%;年均ET0以广东最多,江西最少. (2)空间上,韩江流域ET0呈现“自东南向西北逐渐递减”、“三高一低”的分布格局,即韩江上游梅江源头地区、韩江三角洲以及梅潭河流域为明显的高值区,而汀江上游地区的值相对较低;四季ET0的空间分布与年高低值的分布格局基本一致. (3)韩江流域ET0对相对湿度呈负敏感性,对平均气温、日照时数和平均风速呈正敏感性,对相对湿度最为敏感,其次是平均温度,对日照时数和平均风速的敏感性相对较小. (4)风速的下降是该流域ET0减少的主要原因,其次是相对湿度. 本文为山区流域水循环研究奠定了一定的基础,可为区域水资源评价与管理提供参考依据.

     

    Abstract: Based on the daily meteorological data of 12 meteorological stations in Hanjiang River Basin from 1961 to 2013, Penman-Monteith formula is used to calculate the reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0), and the spatial characteristics of ET0 in Hanjiang River Basin and its influencing factors are analyzed by Mann-Kendall test, Kring interpolation, Pearson correlation analysis and sensitivity coefficient. The results show:(1) During the past 53 years, Hanjiang River Basin average annual ET0 is 1121.96mm;overall is decreased; the rate is 0.39 mm/a and the abrupt change of evapotranspiration in 1967. The annual change of the whole basin ET0 is obvious;the largest contribution is in summer, accounting for 37% of the year, compared with the provinces;the average annual ET0 in Guangdong is the most, while Jiangxi is the least. (2) In space, the Hanjiang River Basin ET0 presents from the distribution pattern of decreasing from the southeast to the northwest;the source area of Hanjiang upstream Meijiang, Hanjiang River Delta and Meitanhe basin is obviously high value area. The Ningjiang, Tingjiang upstream region ET0 value is relatively low;the seasonal ET0 space pattern is similar to the annual ET0 level value distribution. (3) ET0 of relative humidity is negatively sensitive, on average temperature, sunshine time number and average wind speed for is sensitive and evapotranspiration of climate factor sensitivity size sorting: relative humidity>temperature>sunshine number>average wind speed. (4) The main reason for the change of ET0 in this area is the decrease of wind speed, and the relative humidity is the second. This article may provide the basis of river basin water cycle research, and can provide the reference for regional water resources evaluation and management.

     

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