不同径流尺度的小波神经网络预测

Forecasting Approach for Different Scales of Runoff Based on the Wavelet Analysis and Neural Network

  • 摘要: 本文探讨了小波神经网络在径流预测中的应用。该方法结合了神经网络和小波转化的优点,弥补了人工神经网络在预测应用中的不足,较好的追踪预测径流时间序列中的突变性,强转折性,奇异性点等。并且本研究通过与人工神经网络预测方法比较研究,得出小波神经网络能取得更高精度的不同尺度的径流预测值。

     

    Abstract: This pape discussed the application of the wavelet analysis and neural network method in runoff predicted. This method unified the merits of which are the neural networks and the wavelet transform . The wavelet analysis and neural network method made up the defective of Artifical Neural Network in forecast application. And this method can well trace forecast the special points which have some characteristic, sudden change ,strong sinuous and irregularity, in runoff time series. Comparison was made between the wavelet analysis and neural network method with artificial neural network. The comparison result indicated the wavelet analysis and neural network method obtained the high accuracy runoff predicted value.

     

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