碳达峰与碳中和背景下省域高速公路网碳排放精细化测算方法

The Refined Carbon Emission Measurement Method of Provincial Highway Network in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality

  • 摘要: 基于高速公路门架、2019年货运专项调查、汽车能耗查询平台等数据,综合考虑不同车型、不同路段饱和度下车辆能耗差异,构建基于改进“政府间气候变化专门委员会”(IPCC)的高速公路网碳排放精细化测算模型,并以山东省为例进行实例分析。结果表明:从车型上看,高速公路碳排放客车、货车碳排放量占比分别为45.29%、54.71%,其中主要碳排放源为Ⅰ类客车、Ⅰ类货车与Ⅵ类货车等;从路网分布看,碳排放高值路段主要在人口密集和经济发达城市的绕城高速,邻近综合交通枢纽(高铁、机场、港口),济青、京沪运输通道等呈现空间集聚分布特征;从区域分布看,碳排放高值区主要在以济南中心城区为核心的省会经济圈、以青岛中心的城区为中心胶东经济圈集聚,并呈现出从经济圈中心向外逐层递减的态势。该研究可为区域交通碳排放相关政策监管、区域交通运输“碳达峰”时间点研判提供理论和数据支撑,对推动区域交通运输双碳目标的实现具有重要现实意义。

     

    Abstract: Based on the data of highway gantry, 2019 freight transport special survey, and vehicle energy consumption query platform, this study comprehensively considers the differences in vehicle energy consumption under different models and saturation degrees of different road sections, constructs a refined measurement model of highway network carbon emissions based on the improvement of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC), and conducts an analysis in Shandong Province as an example. An example analysis is carried out in Shandong Province. The results show that: from the perspective of vehicle type, the proportion of carbon emissions from passenger cars and trucks on motorways is 45.29% and 54.71% respectively, and the main sources of carbon emissions are Class Ⅰ passenger cars, Class Ⅰ trucks and Class Ⅵ trucks, etc. From the distribution of road network, the high carbon emission sections are mainly found in the bypass highways of densely populated and economically developed cities, and the sections are adjacent to the comprehensive transport hubs (high-speed rail, airport and port), Jinan-Qingdao and Beijing-Shanghai transport corridor, etc. The spatial clustering distribution characteristics are shown. In terms of regional distribution, high carbon emission areas are mainly concentrated in the provincial capital economic circle with Jinan central city as the core and Jiaodong economic circle with Qingdao central city as the centre, and show a decreasing trend from the centre of the economic circle. The study can provide theoretical and data support for the governance of regional transport carbon emission-related policies and the study of regional transport "carbon peak" time point, which is of great practical significance for promoting the realisation of regional transport dual-carbon goals.

     

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